Frequently Asked Questions

Is this investment advice? Can I trade the signals?

No, and trade at your own judgment. This is a record of predictions — statistics measure prediction accuracy against exchange trade records, not actual trading returns. Real execution differs: spread, commissions, fill timing. The platform verifies predictions, not executions, and nobody here knows your situation.

How do I know predictions were really made before the open?

Every prediction publishes a cryptographic commitment (a hash) the moment it is submitted — visible on Today's Signals before the market opens, while the content stays hidden. At 9:30 AM ET the content is revealed, and anyone can recompute the hash from the revealed fields and check it against the pre-open commitment. Precommitment isn't an assertion here; it's checkable.

Can I edit or delete a prediction?

No — and that is the product. Once locked, a prediction is permanent: wins, losses, and entries the market never reached all stay on the record forever. A track record you can prune is not a track record. Post nothing you are not willing to own.

When will my prediction fill or settle?

Your prediction targets the next market session. During that session it fills — or it doesn't. Either way, the outcome appears by early the next morning (ET), because the exchange's trade records for a session are published overnight. Until then your prediction shows as queued: that is normal, not stuck. Unfilled entries are recorded at the same time, permanently.

What happens if I lose my identity key?

The record survives — publicly — but nobody can ever post to it again, including you. There are no accounts, emails, or resets by design, so the key you download is the only proof of ownership. Save it when the site offers it; it cannot be recovered.

Why is a 6% win rate ranked above a 60% one?

Because winning often is not the same as winning money. A predictor with small stops and large targets can lose 94 times in 100 and still be profitable — while a high win rate with big losses quietly bleeds. The scoreboard ranks by profit factor (dollars won per dollar lost), and every profile shows the breakeven win rate its style requires. Compare the two and the edge — or its absence — is visible.

Could my record here differ from real trading of the same plans?

Yes — in two small, known ways. Sometimes the platform says your entry filled when a real order would not have: the price touched your number, but in real trading there can be a waiting line at that price, and your order might never get its turn. And sometimes the platform misses a win: our price feed does not see every trade on every exchange, so on quieter stocks it can miss the moment your target was reached — and when that happens, the mistake goes against you, never in your favor. We checked both against real brokerage trades: fill decisions agree about 95% of the time, and when both agree on the outcome, the prices match to the cent. So if anything, records here are slightly understated. Read them as prediction accuracy, not money you would have made.

Can't someone create many identities and show off the lucky one?

Identities are free and anonymous, so yes — anyone can run many. The defenses are statistical and public. The scoreboard requires 33 settled predictions and ranks by a conservative lower bound of profit factor, so a lucky streak reads as unproven, not as skill — surviving the grind takes months per identity. And the graveyard is public: the scoreboard shows how many identities ever posted versus how many reached 33 settlements, and abandoned records never disappear. Read any single record against that base rate. The Quarterly 500 is easier to get lucky on by design — one quarter, balance as the trophy — which is why the lifetime board is the record that matters.